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Source document· December 25, 2025

The 2025 IPO Comeback Tour

View original at nasdaq.com
The 2025 IPO Comeback Tour In this podcast, Motley Fool analysts Emily Flippen and Sanmeet Deo and contirubtor Jason Hall break down why the IPO market took off in 2025, which new listings may look like future Rule Breakers, and what investors should be keeping an eye on for new IPOs in 2026…
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  • SpaceX IPO will suck out the air in the room for smaller companies trying to go public at the same time

    80% confidence
  • AI model builders raised nearly double what the entire IPO market did while staying private

    80% confidence
  • Bull markets beget more IPOs, and the economy has powered through despite uncertainty

    80% confidence
  • IPO data shows that in general, IPOs tend to fall or stay similar in presidential election years, but increase in the year after elections

    80% confidence
  • In general, he doesn't buy IPOs for about a year or two, and if he does, it's almost always a very small investment

    80% confidence
  • IPOs in the first half of 2025 were up more than 75% compared to 2024

    80% confidence
  • Figma is a top dog, first mover in AI-based collaborative design with a clear path to monetization

    80% confidence
  • SpaceX IPO at $1.5 trillion valuation for a cash-burning business makes him more worried than excited

    80% confidence
  • If the AI bubble bursts in 2026, the IPO market will tighten and see fewer IPOs

    80% confidence
  • SpaceX going public will cause institutional investors to buy it to avoid career risk

    80% confidence
  • AI-related IPOs represented 43% of total IPO proceeds raised in 2025, approximately $16.5 billion out of $38 billion

    80% confidence
  • Many IPOs are exit strategies for existing investors rather than sources of new capital for businesses

    80% confidence
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Obesity and Immunology Readouts, Big Pharma M&A and AI-Designed Drugs Converge Into a Q4 2026 Catalyst Wave
Late-stage data and deal activity are clustering ahead of Q4 2026. Novo Nordisk's CagriSema won Best Abstract at EASD 2026 for its brain and body (fMRI/MRI) data, Lilly showed ADtouch results for EBGLYSS and agreed to buy Merida Biosciences for $2.9B, and Merck's tulisokibart hit its Phase 2b endpoints. A key regulatory catalyst follows: the FDA PDUFA date for the ivonescimab BLA on 2026-11-14. AI-designed rentosertib showing anti-aging effects adds a speculative AI-drug-discovery thread, while QAIAx's microcities trial and QIII pilot (planned 2027-01-01) are peripheral, forecast-only items.
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Satellite-Terrestrial Network Integration Acceleration
Increased investment and launches in hybrid satellite-cellular networks across telecom industry; competitive responses from other carriers; regulatory activity around satellite spectrum; expansion of emergency/rural connectivity use cases
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Donde las fuentes discrepan
ING Group
Both facts record the same metric (shares_outstanding) for ING Group at the identical observation date (2025-12-31). FACT A states 2,902,437,688 shares; FACT B states 2,902 million shares (2,902,000,000). The difference is 437,688 shares (~0.015%). This is a genuine value conflict, though the discrepancy appears to result from FACT B rounding to the nearest million while FACT A provides the precise count.
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