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Source document· April 21, 2026

Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Nutrien, CF Industries and Yara

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Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Nutrien, CF Industries and Yara For Immediate Release Chicago, IL – April 21, 2026 – Today, Zacks Equity Research discussesNutrien Ltd…
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  • Strong agricultural market conditions and favorable farm economics are driving fertilizer demand worldwide

    60% confidence
  • Prices of phosphate, potash and nitrogen remained depressed in 2023 and 2024 amid oversupply in the market and weak demand

    60% confidence
  • CF Industries has an expected earnings growth rate of 6.2% for 2026

    60% confidence
  • The Zacks Fertilizers industry carries a Zacks Industry Rank #41, which places it in the top 17% of more than 250 Zacks industries

    60% confidence
  • In the past five years, the industry has traded as high as 18.05X and as low as 4.55X, with a median of 9.76X

    60% confidence
  • Supply disruptions from Russia amid the war with Ukraine contributed to the rise in prices of both sulfur and ammonia

    60% confidence
  • Nutrien is seeing strong demand in its major markets, particularly North America

    60% confidence
  • CF's earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the last four quarters at an average of 13.2%

    60% confidence
  • Fertilizer makers are likely to face short-term margin pressure associated with higher input costs

    60% confidence
  • Demand for nitrogen fertilizer remains healthy in major markets, driven by requirements in North America, India and Brazil

    60% confidence
  • The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Yara's 2026 earnings has been revised 25% upward over the past 60 days

    60% confidence
  • Strong demand and supply tightness led to an uptick in fertilizer prices in 2025, with phosphate prices seeing a notable increase

    60% confidence
  • Favorable farmer economics, improved affordability and low inventory levels are expected to drive potash demand globally

    60% confidence
  • A favorable nitrogen demand environment bodes well for Yara International

    60% confidence
  • The upward momentum in fertilizer prices continues this year (2026)

    60% confidence
  • Higher fertilizer prices also augur well for these industry players

    60% confidence
  • Industry participants such as Nutrien Ltd., CF Industries Holdings, Inc. and Yara International ASA are set to benefit from higher demand for fertilizers in major markets

    60% confidence
  • The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Nutrien's 2026 earnings has been revised 4.4% upward over the past 60 days

    60% confidence
  • CF Industries is gaining from higher nitrogen fertilizer demand in major markets such as North America, Brazil and India

    60% confidence
  • The phosphate market is supported by low producer and channel inventories

    60% confidence
  • Nutrien has expected earnings growth of 9% for 2026

    60% confidence
  • Cost reductions and actions to strengthen the balance sheet are expected to boost Yara's profitability and cash flows

    60% confidence
  • The consensus estimate for CF's 2026 earnings has been revised 36.5% upward over the past 60 days

    60% confidence
  • Higher prices are expected to drive top-line and margin expansion for companies in this space over the near term

    60% confidence
  • The industry is currently trading at 8.76X EV/EBITDA compared with the S&P 500's 18.64X and the sector's 15.43X

    60% confidence
  • Yara has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of roughly 74.5%, on average

    60% confidence
  • The Zacks Fertilizers industry is poised to gain from solid demand fundamentals for key crop nutrients like phosphate and potash

    60% confidence
  • Rising natural gas prices, a key feedstock for nitrogen fertilizer, are a concern

    60% confidence
  • The top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1

    60% confidence
  • Prices of both sulfur and ammonia — key inputs for the production of phosphate — remain elevated

    60% confidence

Data points we hold from this source

S&P 500 · ev ebitda ratio18.64 multiple
S&P 500 · stock performance42.8 percent
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